September 29, 2005

Missouri Row Crop Yield Forecasts Down From 2004

Forecasts for Missouri row crop yields show the results of the drought that affected most of the growing season but farmersí expectations have risen slightly from a month ago, said Gene Danekas, Director, Missouri Agricultural Statistics. August rains came too late to have a major impact on much of the Stateís crop acreage but the later-planted fields, particularly soybeans, are responding to the additional moisture.

Missouri soybean production is forecast at 167 million bushels based on September 1, 2005 conditions, up 6 percent from the August 1 forecast but 25 percent below last year. The State yield is forecast at 33 bushels per acre, 2 bushels above last months forecast but 12 bushels under the 2004 record yield.

Corn production in Missouri is forecast at 304 million bushels, 2 percent more than the August 1 forecast but 35 percent below last years record crop. The expected yield of 103 bushels per acre is up 4 bushels from a month earlier but 59 bushels below last yearís record. The revised forecast of 2.95 million acres to be harvested for grain is a reduction of 50,000 acres from a month ago and partially offsets the effect of the increased yield in determining production.

Missouri grain sorghum production is forecast at 8.9 million bushels, 3 percent above the August 1 forecast but 43 percent below the 2004 production. The expected yield of 74 bushels per acre is up 2 bushels from a month ago but 34 bushels below the 2004 record.

United States soybean production is forecast at 2.86 billion bushels, up 2 percent from the August forecast but down 9 percent from the record crop of 2004. Based on September 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 39.6 bushels per acre, up 0.9 bushel from August.

Corn production in the U.S. is forecast at 10.6 billion bushels, up 3 percent from last month but 10 percent below 2004. If realized, this would be the second largest crop on record. Based on conditions as of September 1, yields are expected to average 143.2 bushels per acre, up 4.0 bushels from August but 17.2 bushels below the record high last year.

Production of sorghum in the U.S. is forecast at 398 million bushels, up 5 percent from last month but down 13 percent from last year. Based on September 1 conditions, the sorghum yield forecast is 66.0 bushels per acre, up 2.9 bushels from August but down 3.8 bushels from last year.

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